Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000634 0.000720 0.000811 0.000914 0.001027 0.001147 0.001285
2025-12-21 0.000489 0.000606 0.000737 0.000896 0.001081 0.001290 0.001541
2025-12-28 0.000430 0.000563 0.000721 0.000919 0.001159 0.001438 0.001784
2026-01-04 0.000380 0.000524 0.000702 0.000932 0.001220 0.001564 0.002003
2026-01-11 0.000332 0.000481 0.000671 0.000925 0.001251 0.001651 0.002173
2026-01-18 0.000293 0.000444 0.000642 0.000916 0.001277 0.001729 0.002331
2026-01-25 0.000266 0.000420 0.000629 0.000924 0.001322 0.001831 0.002521
2026-02-01 0.000241 0.000396 0.000612 0.000925 0.001357 0.001918 0.002691
2026-02-08 0.000210 0.000360 0.000576 0.000898 0.001350 0.001950 0.002789
2026-02-15 0.000185 0.000331 0.000547 0.000876 0.001349 0.001987 0.002894
2026-02-22 0.000167 0.000311 0.000530 0.000870 0.001369 0.002053 0.003037
2026-03-01 0.000153 0.000295 0.000516 0.000869 0.001394 0.002124 0.003188
2026-03-08 0.000137 0.000275 0.000497 0.000858 0.001405 0.002178 0.003318
2026-03-15 0.000122 0.000256 0.000476 0.000843 0.001410 0.002222 0.003435
2026-03-22 0.000116 0.000251 0.000479 0.000864 0.001469 0.002344 0.003665
2026-03-29 0.000109 0.000243 0.000476 0.000877 0.001514 0.002447 0.003870
2026-04-05 0.000099 0.000230 0.000462 0.000870 0.001528 0.002506 0.004011
2026-04-12 0.000089 0.000216 0.000447 0.000861 0.001540 0.002560 0.004146
2026-04-19 0.000083 0.000209 0.000443 0.000869 0.001577 0.002653 0.004339
2026-04-26 0.000077 0.000200 0.000435 0.000870 0.001603 0.002728 0.004508
2026-05-03 0.000068 0.000184 0.000412 0.000844 0.001584 0.002734 0.004573
2026-05-10 0.000060 0.000170 0.000393 0.000823 0.001572 0.002750 0.004653
2026-05-17 0.000055 0.000162 0.000383 0.000818 0.001586 0.002807 0.004795